Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.004880 0.005382 0.005924 0.006556 0.007273 0.008066 0.009011
2025-08-03 0.004054 0.004744 0.005546 0.006557 0.007807 0.009316 0.011298
2025-08-10 0.003552 0.004315 0.005248 0.006485 0.008105 0.010188 0.013122
2025-08-17 0.003238 0.004055 0.005091 0.006526 0.008499 0.011175 0.015184
2025-08-24 0.002952 0.003788 0.004883 0.006454 0.008704 0.011900 0.016951
2025-08-31 0.002678 0.003506 0.004618 0.006262 0.008700 0.012302 0.018269
2025-09-07 0.002503 0.003340 0.004493 0.006245 0.008934 0.013064 0.020240
2025-09-14 0.002415 0.003285 0.004513 0.006436 0.009491 0.014381 0.023322
2025-09-21 0.002253 0.003110 0.004344 0.006320 0.009547 0.014885 0.025062
2025-09-28 0.002108 0.002949 0.004181 0.006196 0.009572 0.015332 0.026753
2025-10-05 0.002007 0.002845 0.004095 0.006185 0.009778 0.016109 0.029198
2025-10-12 0.001945 0.002796 0.004091 0.006302 0.010213 0.017347 0.032784
2025-10-19 0.001842 0.002681 0.003979 0.006241 0.010346 0.018075 0.035532
2025-10-26 0.001759 0.002592 0.003904 0.006238 0.010587 0.019057 0.039080
2025-11-02 0.001670 0.002490 0.003798 0.006171 0.010696 0.019781 0.042184
2025-11-09 0.001610 0.002428 0.003755 0.006209 0.011012 0.020978 0.046721
2025-11-16 0.001535 0.002338 0.003658 0.006142 0.011109 0.021712 0.050251
2025-11-23 0.001447 0.002221 0.003508 0.005962 0.010956 0.021869 0.052256
2025-11-30 0.001393 0.002158 0.003447 0.005946 0.011142 0.022831 0.056785
2025-12-07 0.001373 0.002153 0.003487 0.006125 0.011764 0.024920 0.065289
2025-12-14 0.001311 0.002071 0.003384 0.006016 0.011740 0.025421 0.068968
2025-12-21 0.001252 0.001991 0.003282 0.005899 0.011689 0.025846 0.072535
2025-12-28 0.001212 0.001943 0.003233 0.005889 0.011878 0.026928 0.078722